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FLYwithMIKI paragliding school - Weather preparation for safe flying
Flight WeatherFLYwithMIKI . AI prediction . km/h
AI predictionOne question, one answer: how likely is it that today's beginner course can fly? Analyse the raw data yourself on the Meteo page, then compare — do you agree?
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Check the raw weather dataFronts, föhn, wind, precipitation and fog — the objective inputs behind this prediction.
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How the AI scores (v3). Each day starts at 100% at each of the 4 launch sites (Zugerberg, Brunni/Engelberg, Büelen/Wolfenschiessen, Niederbauen/Emmetten) and everything that threatens a beginner course deducts points: rain is weighted by how many of the 9 course hours (09–17h) it likely eats, thunderstorms by ICON-CH1/ICON-D2 model agreement, föhn, wind strength & direction, fronts and fog by severity — small stuff (a few clouds) costs nothing. Two situations force 0%: clear föhn and rain through most of the course day. The best site's score is the day's %. Uncertainty itself costs points — if the models disagree or the day is far ahead, the score drops and the confidence badge shows why. The MeteoSwiss text keywords can only push the score down, never up. ≥75% GO · 50–74% CAUTION · <50% NO-FLY. The thermal forecast is a simplified parcel model on ICON data — a first estimate, not a sounding analysis. The algorithm is work in progress. Decision support only — YOU are the pilot, YOU decide. Based on the SHV strategy.